Tomorrow & Wednesday Are Days To Closely Monitor

 10:45 AM CDT | April 13, 2026 - There is a marginal risk for severe weather late this afternoon and evening. I would not be surprised to see an upgrade to a slight risk for parts of Central Oklahoma in later outlooks, as some of the guidance shows two or three supercells initiating near or just west of OKC between 4:00 and 6:00 PM. If this occurs, Quarter to Golf Ball-size Hail, Damaging Winds, and a brief Tornado will be possible. The risk for severe weather will subside by 10:00 PM.

Tomorrow, we have a slight risk for severe weather across a good portion of the state. The general consensus is that a dryline will stall near Clinton by late afternoon with scattered severe storms developing along/ahead of it. The environment will be more favorable for rotating storms tomorrow, so I do anticipate most of the 5% risk area below to be upgraded to a 10% in later outlooks, with a broader 5% area surrounding it. The only caveat is if activity in Northwest Texas sends outflow northward, disrupting the activity in Oklahoma.


 
On Wednesday, the dryline will be positioned farther east, near Hydro or so... We could see a triple point set up in that area which would prove very favorable for severe weather. There is a slight risk in place currently, and I would anticipate similarly beefed up risk areas (hatched lines) in later outlooks for West Central Oklahoma. Coverage will not be as widespread as Tuesday, but the environment will support storms of similar maximum intensity (Golf Ball to Baseball-size Hail, Damaging Winds to 70 mph, and Tornadoes).

I would keep a close eye on the weather this week, particularly Tuesday and Wednesday. A couple Strong Tornadoes will be possible. I may draw up my own graphics later this evening, depending on the data and how much I agree with the updates from the SPC later today. 

I will update the Facebook page as time allows. Stay tuned!



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