Get Ready For Your Mind To Be Blown

5:30 PM CST | November 30, 2025 - Get ready, because I am going to blow your mind on this weather. For those who may be new, I take into account something called the recurring cycle theory. In a nutshell, it holds that a unique weather pattern sets up every fall - connected to the Autumnal Equinox. This weather pattern lasts anywhere from 40-60 days, and then it repeats itself before becoming less discernible in the summer, eventually giving way to yet a new pattern in the fall. Every other cycle tends to mirror each other more closely than back-to-back cycles. There are seasonal differences in the jet stream to take into account as well.

Ten days ago, I stated that the cold we are now experiencing fit the pattern which had started cycling again. I also noted that there would be an elevated risk for winter weather as well. I am going to show you the mid-levels of the atmosphere on October 13th compared to November 21st. As you can see, the same two lows were featured but with seasonal differences (farther south courtesy of a stronger jet stream). This part of the cycling weather pattern brought rainfall to the state both times.

As we move forward and look at October 23rd compared to this morning... you can see the same deep low centered over the Great Lakes region with a weaker shortwave rounding the backside of the trough. Similar to the previous example, a stronger jet stream made for some differences. The lift from this approaching shortwave will give portions of the state a chance for freezing rain, sleet, and snow late tonight and tomorrow. What is now coming into focus with a couple weather models is another opportunity for rain and a wintry mix on Thursday. Yes, this too fits the pattern because we saw another disturbance follow a few days after the October 23rd one in the first cycle. I will keep you posted as things unfold.