More Thunderstorm Chances This Weekend, Increasing Severe Risk Early June

8:30 PM CDT - Tomorrow will be a much-needed lull in rain chances. Flooding occurred in multiple areas with the last round of weather. Thunderstorm chances will be on the increase, however, by late Saturday afternoon and evening. A disturbance will dig into the Southern Plains/Ozarks late in the day. This is what one of the latest models shows at 7:00 PM Saturday. It shows a fairly potent disturbance approaching from the north. A few Strong to Severe Storms will be possible, despite the SPC not having a risk area highlighted.

We may see a lull Sunday before the risk for Severe Weather increases on Monday. Monday's setup will be more typical of late spring with the dryline in play. Favored area for Severe Weather will be from the eastern Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles into Central Oklahoma. The risk shifts farther east on Tuesday with both the dryline and a cold front in play. Favored area will be Central/Eastern Oklahoma. While some Severe Weather risk is likely into next weekend, details become less clear. Takeaway is that we will see an active start to June. This should not come as a surprise if you remember the May 6th post, where I discussed the recurring cycle. As always, you can also follow Oklahoma Storm Watch on Facebook.

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