Active Weather Period To Unfold This Weekend

11:00 PM CDT | May 13, 2025 - A strong storm system will lift out of the Rockies and into the Plains late tomorrow. We would be anticipating severe weather with this system; however, the upper-low that lingered for multiple days over the Lower-Mississippi Valley disrupted the flow of gulf moisture into the state. As a result, moisture is shallow and will get mixed out with soaring temperatures. A stout capping inversion will keep things quiet through at least the evening hours tomorrow. Low-end storm chances return to Southeast Oklahoma tomorrow night and Thursday. A marginally severe storm is possible with hail and wind on Thursday.

I wanted to compare this part of the recurring weather pattern with what was seen a cycle ago in early April. The first graphic is what one of our models is depicting tomorrow morning, and the second graphic is what occurred on April 4th.



Both feature a deep trough over the Western US; however, there is a notable difference that jacked up the forecast - that is the upper low over the Eastern US which was absent in early April. Now, here is where things get interesting...

Because of the way things are going to shape up, the piece of energy that is to follow this one will likely dig pretty far south too... and should be able to tap into greater moisture across the Sooner State. Sunday and Monday could be interesting as far as Severe Weather. The potential for higher-end Severe Weather will exist.

I still anticipate another opportunity for Severe Weather a few days after the weekend/early week period. It has been a quiet May so far for Oklahoma, but that is likely to change soon. I will continue to keep you posted here and on the Facebook page. Be sure to LIKE and share if you enjoy these updates. It helps out tremendously.



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