More Active Weather Pattern About To Unfold

1:30 PM CDT | April 17, 2025 - As discussed back on March 18th and again on April 5th, we would see a more active weather pattern return. The main severe risk will be next week, but a risk will exist tomorrow and Saturday. The system will clear the region from west to east Easter morning. For those who have been keeping up, the risks would bookend Easter with the greater risk after the holiday.

Let's take it a step at a time. Tomorrow, we will see a cold front push into Northwestern Oklahoma during the afternoon. Activity will likely develop in the 5-7 PM period in Western Oklahoma near the frontal boundary. This activity will shift east and northeast with all hazards possible near/south of the boundary. North of the boundary, large hail will be the primary hazard with a lesser risk for damaging winds. A couple tornadoes are certainly possible. It is a bit concerning that the guidance shows the potential for even a strong one. The tornado risk will be maximized in the 6-10 PM period.

Despite favorable conditions for supercells, the narrow window for activity to not be undercut by the slowly advancing boundary may preclude an upgrade to an Enhanced Risk. If one is issued, it would likely be for areas west/southwest of OKC.

For Saturday, additional strong to severe storms are expected. This time, it will be mainly across Eastern/Southeast Oklahoma. The greatest risk will likely be during the evening and overnight hours as a cluster or two takes shape. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards. A couple tornadoes will be possible as well.

Sunday will be a day of clearing and drying out for the state. Activity should come to an end before midday across most of the state. Monday will be a lull day before an increase in thunderstorm chances return for Tuesday.

Severe Weather is possible starting Tuesday with the favored area being in the west. This will of course be refined in the coming days. Follow Oklahoma Storm Watch on Facebook for more updates!

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