SEVERE WEATHER LIVE BLOG - March 29, 2025

9:10 PM CDT - Strong to Severe Thunderstorms continue to develop across Western/Northern Oklahoma this evening. I expect the most intense activity to evolve along the southern edge of the evolving cluster. This is currently located near/SW of Elk City. Current projection would take it along the I-40 corridor over the next couple of hours, where I drew a black polygon. I honestly do not know why the SPC/NWS did not include cities such as Elk City (which is currently under a Severe T-Storm Warning), Clinton, and Weatherford in the Tornado Watch.

Farther south, there is a supercell approaching Duncan and Marlow from the southwest. I have it circled in black. Large Hail and Damaging Winds are the main hazards at this time.




7:00 PM CDT - The SPC/NWS is likely to issue a TORNADO WATCH soon for portions of Western/Central Oklahoma. Very Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and a few Tornadoes are all possible. Storm initiation is expected in the next hour.


9:30 AM CDT - The SPC has expanded the Slight Risk as anticipated to include much of West Central Oklahoma. Storm development is likely to occur around/after sunset as lift increases with the approach of our mid-level disturbance. Large to Very Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and a couple Tornadoes will be possible. Updates will be posted here into tonight, covering the latest trends. Be sure to also follow on Facebook!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

LIVE WEATHER BLOG - Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Image
 LIVE BLOG 3:10 PM CDT UPDATE - An area of agitated cumulus clouds is noted on satellite along the frontal boundary. Development will become increasingly likely over the next 1-2 hours along this boundary as well as near the surface to the northeast of the highlighted area. The SPC upgraded parts of Central Oklahoma to a Slight Risk with their 11:30 AM update and maintained it with their 3:00 PM update. The forecast seems to be on track... Archived Videos
Read more

2024/06/04 - LIVE BLOG: Significant Hail & Wind Likely In Oklahoma Through Tonight

Image
8:40 PM CDT UPDATE - Incredible cluster of supercells south of I-40 are producing Large Hail and Damaging Winds. There are a few areas of rotation that I am watching, especially near Anadarko.  This is a look from where I am, well to the north... Amazing. 5:05 PM CDT UPDATE - The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for a good portion of Oklahoma. It is in effect until midnight CDT.   4:25 PM CDT UPDATE - Convergence is increasing near the triple point late this afternoon. You can see the agitated cumulus field near Clinton on satellite. The area I have highlighted is where development is likely to occur between 5:00 and 6:00 PM. Surface instability is phenomenal right now across parts of the state. The latest mesoanalysis shows over 7,000 j/kg of SBCAPE near Chickasha. The environment is a powder keg and will be very supportive of Severe Weather near and east of the triple point. The marginal shear will be offset by the presence of such extreme i...
Read more

2024/06/03 - LIVE BLOG: Severe Weather Risk Into The Overnight Hours

Image
10:30 PM CDT UPDATE - Strong Storm development appears to be underway along the I-40 corridor, to the west of OKC. Activity is tracking toward the east right now, but as updrafts mature, they will track more toward the southeast while expanding. Again, Quarter to Baseball-size Hail will be possible with the most intense storms overnight with a secondary risk for Damaging Winds. A conditional risk for Severe Weather will exist tomorrow for parts of the state. More on that in the morning. Good night and stay safe, everyone. 8:55 PM CDT UPDATE - There were a few Severe Thunderstorms in the Texas Panhandle and one strong storm this afternoon in Northwest Oklahoma. They have since dissipated. There appears to be a weak capping inversion located above the surface. Despite the largely favorable environment, the significant severe potential has not been realized. The SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for Central and Southern/Southeast Oklahoma tonight. The primary risk will be Quarter to Baseba...
Read more