2024/04/27 - Pre-Dawn Severe Weather Update

 5:55 AM CDT | April 27, 2024 - A few cells have begun to develop to the northeast of Lubbock early this morning. This can be seen on both radar and satellite, evident by agitated cumulus clouds seen below. The SPC and NWS state that a Tornado Watch is likely prior to 7 AM for parts of Northwest Texas and much of Western Oklahoma. The initial risk will be Large Hail, but as the morning progresses, the risk for Tornadoes and Damaging Winds will increase. This honestly aligns well with last night's thoughts - see previous post.


After 1:00 AM, the SPC also pulled the trigger on upgrading a good portion of Oklahoma to a Moderate Risk. I believe this Moderate Risk may need to be expanded westward in the next update by 8:00 AM, given the trends. Today is a day where you really need to be prepared. The potential for several strong to violent tornadoes will be present later today and into tonight. Make sure you have supplies ready to go to your safe shelter, should a warning be issued for your area. This includes food, water, medicine, batteries, extra cash, and any other essentials you may need. Not everyone will see severe weather, but those that do, impacts could be significant - similar to what we saw in certain communities in Nebraska and Iowa yesterday. In life threatening situations, ALWAYS refer to official sources like the National Weather Service and your local trusted meteorologist. My personal thoughts and predictions are to be used as supplemental information only. Stay tuned for more updates.



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

LIVE WEATHER BLOG - Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Image
 LIVE BLOG 3:10 PM CDT UPDATE - An area of agitated cumulus clouds is noted on satellite along the frontal boundary. Development will become increasingly likely over the next 1-2 hours along this boundary as well as near the surface to the northeast of the highlighted area. The SPC upgraded parts of Central Oklahoma to a Slight Risk with their 11:30 AM update and maintained it with their 3:00 PM update. The forecast seems to be on track... Archived Videos
Read more

2024/06/03 - LIVE BLOG: Severe Weather Risk Into The Overnight Hours

Image
10:30 PM CDT UPDATE - Strong Storm development appears to be underway along the I-40 corridor, to the west of OKC. Activity is tracking toward the east right now, but as updrafts mature, they will track more toward the southeast while expanding. Again, Quarter to Baseball-size Hail will be possible with the most intense storms overnight with a secondary risk for Damaging Winds. A conditional risk for Severe Weather will exist tomorrow for parts of the state. More on that in the morning. Good night and stay safe, everyone. 8:55 PM CDT UPDATE - There were a few Severe Thunderstorms in the Texas Panhandle and one strong storm this afternoon in Northwest Oklahoma. They have since dissipated. There appears to be a weak capping inversion located above the surface. Despite the largely favorable environment, the significant severe potential has not been realized. The SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for Central and Southern/Southeast Oklahoma tonight. The primary risk will be Quarter to Baseba...
Read more

2024/06/04 - LIVE BLOG: Significant Hail & Wind Likely In Oklahoma Through Tonight

Image
8:40 PM CDT UPDATE - Incredible cluster of supercells south of I-40 are producing Large Hail and Damaging Winds. There are a few areas of rotation that I am watching, especially near Anadarko.  This is a look from where I am, well to the north... Amazing. 5:05 PM CDT UPDATE - The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for a good portion of Oklahoma. It is in effect until midnight CDT.   4:25 PM CDT UPDATE - Convergence is increasing near the triple point late this afternoon. You can see the agitated cumulus field near Clinton on satellite. The area I have highlighted is where development is likely to occur between 5:00 and 6:00 PM. Surface instability is phenomenal right now across parts of the state. The latest mesoanalysis shows over 7,000 j/kg of SBCAPE near Chickasha. The environment is a powder keg and will be very supportive of Severe Weather near and east of the triple point. The marginal shear will be offset by the presence of such extreme i...
Read more