Late Morning Update On The Strong Tornado Risk
10:50 AM CDT | April 1, 2026 - Today is going to be an active day across the state. Late this morning, a frontal boundary is currently draped from east of Oklahoma City, to near Norman, to north of Altus. This is the boundary mentioned in last night's discussion that will retreat northwest with heating. I still believe it is on schedule to lift near an Enid to Elk City line by late afternoon. Areas along and southeast of this boundary will have the greatest potential for Tornadoes, a couple of which could be strong. The latest Nadocast parameters are picking up on this, and these are the Tornado probabilities it now shows through tonight. It paints an ominous picture for West Central Oklahoma. The SPC surprisingly has not increased the official Day 1 Tornado probabilities to 10%, as of the writing of this post. I believe they are already warranted, and it is important that Oklahomans are prepared for the potential for Strong Tornadoes. Otherwise, any Severe Storm will be ca...